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Link to download our model's predictions and compare them with betting odds and actual winners for the 2024-25 season

The proof is in the pudding — and this pudding is built on data.

The charts you see here aren’t just numbers — they’re a roadmap to long-term profitability. These figures show the historical performance of our AI-powered betting model, which has been trained on years of detailed NBA data. But more importantly, they provide you with the confidence to approach betting not as gambling — but as a calculated, data-driven investment strategy.

Interpreting the Data:

Our profitability charts separate performance into two categories:

 

All High-Confidence Bets (≥ 55% to ≥ 80%)

High-Confidence Underdog Bets — where the model predicted a win against the market favorite.

The ROI across these ranges reveals a powerful insight:
Even when betting in the lower confidence intervals (like 55–60%), our model still delivers solid long-term performance. This is important because volume matters — by spreading bets intelligently across many high-confidence opportunities, you're increasing exposure to profitable edge cases that compound over time.

Meanwhile, underdog bets — which traditional logic would ignore — show extraordinary ROI. This is not by chance. The model doesn’t use sportsbook odds to make predictions, so it’s uniquely positioned to spot market inefficiencies, especially when the public undervalues certain teams or overlooks hidden strengths (like home-court advantage or matchup anomalies).

Play the Long Game:

This isn’t about winning every bet. It’s about making hundreds of bets where your edge pays off across a season or more.

Reinvest with Strategy: Use techniques like the Kelly Criterion to adjust stake size based on your edge and bankroll — maximizing long-term growth while minimizing risk of ruin.

Stick to the Plan:

Temptation to bet emotionally is the investor’s enemy. The data is your edge. Trust it.

The long-term ROI shown here, especially on underdog bets, dramatically outpaces traditional investment vehicles. This model doesn’t chase hype. It identifies value. Over hundreds of games, that value compounds into something powerful — sustainable, exponential growth.

This isn’t magic. It’s math.

Welcome to the pudding.

Disclaimer: All projections are not exact. We advise focusing on higher probabilities to limit risk
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